Daily Box Office (September 27th 2024)
The market hits 34.4M/$4.9M which is up +78% from yesterday and flat versus last week.
Transformers: One opens with an incredibly dissapointing $1.41M. Now aiming for an opening weekend of just $4-5M. $7-8M including early pre-screenings. Receptions seems quite positive so the hope is it bounces back through the Holidays.
Province map of the day:
Transformers mostly dominates.
In Metropolitan cities:
Transformers: One wins Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Hangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou, Beijing, Chengdu Chongqing and Shanghai
City tiers:
Transformers tops every tier.
Tier 1: Transformers:One>Like A Rolling Stone>The Sinking Of The Lisbon Maru
Tier 2: Transformers:One>Like A Rolling Stone>Stand By Me
Tier 3: Transformers:One>Alien:Romulus>Stand By Me
Tier 4: Transformers:One>Stand By Me>Like A Rolling Stone
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Transformers: One | $1.41M | 49714 | 0.24M | $13.28M | $24M-$25M | ||
| 2 | Like A Rolling Stone | $0.65M | +18% | -24% | 53413 | 0.11M | $13.93M | $17M-$18M |
| 3 | Alien: Romulus | $0.55M | +83% | +175% | 17554 | 0.08M | $109.07M | $112M-$115M |
| 4 | Stand By Me | $0.54M | +26% | -47% | 55742 | 0.10M | $31.72M | $34M-$35M |
| 5 | Go For Broke | $0.28M | +5% | -15% | 21201 | 0.05M | $64.30M | $66M-$67M |
| 6 | A Frozen Rage | $0.28M | -1% | -58% | 35407 | 0.05M | $12.58M | $13M-$14M |
| 7 | Enjoy Yourself | $0.19M | +2% | -59% | 28357 | 0.03M | $7.97M | $8M-$9M |
| 8 | The Wild Robot | $0.16M | +34% | -59% | 22598 | 0.03M | $4.37M | $5M-$6M |
*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
Transformers mostly dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.
https://i.imgur.com/6RgjiFS.png
Alien: Romulus
Alien continues its comeback posting a fantastic $0.55M today and pushing past $109M. $110M now almost guaranteed by Sunday. Maybe even tomorrow.
Audience Figures:
WoM figures: Maoyan: 8.9 , Taopiaopiao: 9.1 , Douban: 7.5
Gender Split(M-W): 61-39
Age Split: Under 20: 3.0%, 20-24: 24.0%, 25-29: 28.5%, 30-34: 18.8%, 35-39: 13.0%, Over 40: 12.6%
City Tiers: T1: 24.0%, T2: 52.2%, T3: 13.0%, T4: 10.8%
Most Popular Province: Guangdong: 13.8%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 10.6%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: 83.4%, IMAX: 13.3%, Rest: 3.3%
Language split: English Version: 99.0%, Mandarin: 1.0%
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sixth Week | $0.20M | $0.48M | $0.36M | $0.21M | $0.23M | $0.20M | $0.30M | $108.52M |
| Seventh Week | $0.55M | / | / | / | / | / | / | $109.07M |
| %± LW | +175% | / | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Alien: Romulus for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 17374 | $196k | $0.30M-$0.48M |
| Saturday | 17221 | $158k | $0.73M-$1.00M |
| Sunday | 10664 | $32k | $0.29M-$0.42M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood movie to release will be Transformers One on September 27th.
National Day(October 1st)
With National Day rapidly approaching on October 1st it will kickstart a week long Holiday period and arguably the 3rd most lucrative period for Cinema after the Spring Festival and The Summer season.
10 movies will enter the ring. 11 if you count Transformers: One which releases a few days earlier on the 27th.
There's a bit of everything here. Action, Sci-Fi, Drama, War, Comedy, Musical. And while its not the most heavy hitter filled schedule it should still somewhat revive the market thats currently on the floor.
Alongside most of the movies also released new trailers. Among them 749 which released its first actual trailer today. 6 days before its release.
Opening Day Pre-sales
749 Bureau swoops into the lead in pre-sales as it and Tiger Wolf Rabbit push past $2M. The Volunteers 2 still in pursuit. Nothing else even close to the top 3.
| Days till release | Tiger Wolf Rabbit | 749 Bureau | The Volunteers: The Battle of Life and Death | High Forces | The Hutong Cowboy | Panda Plan | Give You Candy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | $931k/31174 | $641k/22244 | $397k/32270 | $91k/14895 | $48k/5666 | $46k/7083 | $32k/11934 |
| 5 | $1.44M/43157 | $1.26M/29988 | $828k/38836 | $208k/17354 | $101k/7192 | $149k/9968 | $86k/12907 |
| 4 | $1.78M/47730 | $1.59M/38136 | $1.29M/49986 | $308k/21060 | $129k/8882 | $229k/11384 | $152k/14854 |
| 3 | $2.16M/56884 | $2.19M/50289 | $1.79M/64451 | $420k/27889 | $191k/12276 | $332k/18177 | $187k/19438 |
| 2 | |||||||
| 1 | |||||||
| 0 |
*Gross/Screenings
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
National Day Lineup:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Forces | 310k | +3k | 77k | +1k | 38/62 | Action/Disaster | 30.09 | $29-92M |
| The Volunteers Part 2 | 262k | +7k | 209k | +7k | 47/53 | History/War | 30.09 | $100-142M |
| Give You A Candy | 114k | +3k | 37k | +1k | 33/67 | Drama/Family | 30.09 | $48-85M |
| 749 | 303k | +18k | 405k | +11k | 21/79 | Science Fiction/Adventure | 01.10 | $38-64M |
| Tiger Wolf Rabbit | 243k | +8k | 195k | +6k | 21/79 | Drama/Crime | 01.10 | $57-102M |
| Panda Plan | 120k | +4k | 30k | +1k | 45/55 | Comedy/Action | 01.10 | $12-40M |
| A Tapestry of a Legendary Land | 65k | +2k | 111k | +3k | 23/77 | Drama/Musical | 01.10 | $4-9M |
| The Hutong Cowboy | 25k | +1k | 31k | +1k | 34/66 | Drama/Comedy | 01.10 | $12-42M |
October:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joker: Folie à Deux | 31k | +4k | 26k | +3k | 58/42 | Thriller/Musical | 16.10 | |
| Venom: The Last Dance | 311k | +7k | 138k | +5k | 55/45 | Action/Science Fiction | 23.10 | $71-95M |
| The Unseen Sister | 175k | +3k | 139k | +2k | 85/15 | Drama/Suspense | 26.10 | $17-27M |
Harry Potter Marathon:
Harry Potter Re-Run Marathon has been announced. Starting October 11th there is gonna be a new movie releasing every week all the way till late November with Hallows P2.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone | 198k | +6k | 233k | +5k | 24/76 | Fantasy/Adventure | 11.10 | |
| Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets | 51k | +3k | 29k | +2k | 26/74 | Fantasy/Adventure | 18.10 | |
| Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban | 48k | +3k | 25k | +1k | 29/71 | Fantasy/Adventure | 25.10 | |
| Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire | 42k | +3k | 22k | +2k | 26/74 | Fantasy/Adventure | 01.11 | |
| Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix | 39k | +2k | 20k | +1k | 27/73 | Fantasy/Adventure | 08.11 | |
| Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince | 15k | +1k | 20k | +1k | 26/74 | Fantasy/Adventure | 15.11 | |
| Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 | 35k | +2k | 20k | +1k | 26/74 | Fantasy/Adventure | 22.11 | |
| Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 | 35k | +2k | 23k | +1k | 26/74 | Fantasy/Adventure | 29.11 |
by Firefox72
8 Comments
Where 40 million go?
China will not save. Rejected
Yikes.
Crazy how The Last Knight grossed 228 million from China alone.
Not to mention Age of Extinction’s 301 million gross, making it the 5th highest grossing Hollywood film ever in China, just below freaking Infinity War.
Yes, those were live-action, but still sucks.
I don’t have much faith in wom as wom is pretty hot in SK but the presales aren’t showing it yet
Huh. Thought Wild Robot already made $7M in China.
Yea markets and tastes in film did change over time
…Fuck. 🙁