https://preview.redd.it/m6oo1zjpmksd1.png?width=568&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b5f46a2b0c1a95541a248de184a3a40e68bc610


Daily Box Office National Day Holidays(October 3rd 2024)

The market hits ¥312.7M/$44.5M which is down -16% from yesterday and up +1510% versus last week due to the Holidays.


Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/MzAyMTgx

The Volunteers 2 continues to dominate.

In Metropolitan cities:

The Volunteers 2 wins Shanghai, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Suzhou, Beijing, Chengdu, Chongqing and Hangzhou

City tiers:

Bureau 749 drops to 3rd in T2-T4 and out of the top 3 in T1.

Tier 1: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>High Forces

Tier 2: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>Bureau749

Tier 3: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>Bureau749

Tier 4: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>Bureau749


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 The Volunteers 2 $17.96M -8% 110250 3.00M $65.95M $205M-$208M
2 Tiger Wolf Rabbit $8.40M -12% 80870 1.40M $28.35M $78M-$86M
3 Bureau 749 $5.55M -49% 76598 0.95M $41.16M $56M-$58M
4 Panda Plan $4.86M +9% 57160 0.97M $13.28M $44M-$53M
5 High Forces $3.67M +1% 45580 0.60M $14.38M $40M-$49M
6 Transformers: One $1.45M -28% 20019 0.25M $13.96M $25M-$32M
7 New Happy Dad and Son 6 $0.51M -17% 15082 0.11M $2.07M $4M-$7M
8 A Tapestry of Legendary Land $0.49M +14% 8859 0.08M $2.07M $5M-$7M
9 The Hutong Cowboy $0.33M -33% 8815 0.05M $2.00M $3M-$6M
10 Give You Candy $0.32M -24% 9517 0.05M $2.55M $4M-$5M
11 The Wild Robot $0.24M +20% +100% 3608 0.04M $5.74M $7M-$8M
17 Alien: Romulus $0.06M +20% -80% 938 0.01M $109.95M $110M-$111M

*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

The Volunteers 2 dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.

https://i.imgur.com/E9B5ghd.png


The Volunteers 2: The Battle Of Life and Death

The Volunteers 2 remains firmly in the lead as it powers past $50M and at the same time $60M. It will be aiming to clear $100M by Sunday.

Continues to massively outpace last years Part 1.

https://i.imgur.com/TodKpZz.png

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 7.4(-0.1)

# MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $6.73M $21.73M $19.53M $17.96M $65.95M

Scheduled showings update for The Volunteers 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 109132 $2.39M $17.67M-$18.38M
Friday 114545 $1.77M $15.10M-$15.39M
Saturday 87438 $323k $14.25M-$14.39M

Bureau 749

Bureau 749 continues its free-fall droping almost another -50% compared to yesterday. It also drops to 3rd and will drop to 4th in tomorrow.

Audience Figures:

Reception continues to be poor. Douban drops below a 5.

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.1 , Taopiaopiao: 8.9(-0.1) , Douban: 4.8(-0.2)

# TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $24.65M $10.96M $5.55M

Scheduled showings update for 749 Bureau for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 81246 $1.47M $5.54M-$6.77M
Friday 61709 $840k $3.41M-$3.56M
Saturday 43139 $299k $2.67M-$2.85M

Tiger Wolf Rabbit

Tiger Wolf Rabbit up to 2nd overtaking the collapsing 749. Nears $30M total.

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3(-0.1) , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 6.5

# TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $10.43M $9.52M $8.40M

Scheduled showings update for Tiger Wolf Rabbit for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 79392 $1.57M $7.69M-$8.71M
Friday 81701 $1.12M $6.95M-$7.07M
Saturday 61002 $256k $6.50M-$6.59M

High Forces

High Forces increases slightly from yesterday as it nears $15M.

Audience Figures:

Opens with a decent 6.7 on Douban.

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.4 , Douban: 6.7

# MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $3.07M $4.00M $3.64M $3.67M $14.38M

Scheduled showings update for High Forces for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 43646 $695k $3.35M-$3.41M
Friday 49439 $537k $3.16M-$3.25M
Saturday 31237 $129k $3.00M-$3.02M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood movie to release will be Joker 2 on October 16th followed by Venom 3 on October 23rd.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


October:

Venom 3 continus to gain massive numbers on the anticipation metric. Here's how it stacks up against some other big post covid movies at the same time.

https://i.imgur.com/WOHL8Bc.png

Just note that this does not mean Venom 3 is locked for $150M or something. But it is a promising sign for another potential $100M+ Holywood movie.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Joker: Folie à Deux 72k +7k 54k +5k 58/42 Thriller/Musical 16.10 $35-40M
Venom: The Last Dance 431k +24k 198k +13k 55/45 Action/Science Fiction 23.10 $71-95M
The Unseen Sister 200k +4k 161k +4k 85/15 Drama/Suspense 26.10 $17-27M

Harry Potter Marathon:

Harry Potter Re-Run Marathon has been announced. Starting October 11th there is gonna be a new movie releasing every week all the way till late November with Hallows P2.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone 240k +5k 255k +3k 24/76 Fantasy/Adventure 11.10
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 74k +3k 38k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 18.10 $5-9M
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 67k +2k 34k +1k 29/71 Fantasy/Adventure 25.10 $3-8M
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire 57k +2k 29k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 01.11 $3-7M
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 52k +1k 27k +1k 27/73 Fantasy/Adventure 08.11 $3-7M
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince 27k +1k 27k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 15.11 $3-6M
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 46k +1k 26k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 22.11 $2-6M
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 48k +1k 30k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 29.11 $3-6M

by Firefox72

1 Comment

  1. Kingsofsevenseas on

    Firefox you could make a separated post with this Venom comparative graphic and update weekly till Venom release/pre-sales start. You have so much knowledge to share and sometimes people into Venom performance in China may miss the news amid your daily report in China. I think it worth it, we may potentially be talking about the biggest post pandemic Hollywood movie in China. A separate with that graphic and your analysis would be great.

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