https://preview.redd.it/f75jmjoe3dtd1.png?width=568&format=png&auto=webp&s=391055a6101b601f22eb818bbd25be6110b51c63


National Day Holidays Total Box Office

The National Day Holidays hit ¥2.10B/$300M which is down -23% from last year. Last year had a weak lineup. This year was worse.

Its a far cry from the heights of ¥4-4.4B between 2019 and 2021. In the last 5 years only 2022 has been worse with ¥1.49B

The Volunteers Part 2 easily wins the Holidays and its overperformance somewhat salvaged the Holidays. With strong reception and weak competition it managed to massively outperfom what Part 1 did last year.

Behind Tiger Rabit Wolf managed to snatch 2nd place on the very last day overtaking 749 which turned out to be a WoM dissaster opening top with $24M+ on its opening day and then ending the Holidays 3rd with just a bit over $50M

Jackie Chans Panda Plan snatches best of the rest against High Forces.

Transformers with a few extra days has to settle for 6th.

And then there is the smaller releases and dissapointments. Most notably Give You Candy which fell completely flat and was even pulled from Theaters from tommorow on to return at a latter date. Not that this will help.

# Movie Gross Admissions Gender Split Maoyan Score Taopiaopiao Score Douban Score
1 The Volunteers Part 2 $120.99M 20.42M 50/50 9.7 9.6 7.2
2 Tiger Rabbit Wolf $50.85M 9.07M 27/72 9.2 9.4 6.3
3 Bureau 749 $50.48M 8.65M 46/53 8.7 8.5 4.3
4 Panda Plan $30.46M 6.11M 44/56 9.4 9.0 6.3
5 High Forces $27.08M 4.47M 48/52 9.5 9.3 6.4
6 Transformers One(Release) $18.91M 3.09M 54/46 9.5 9.3 8.0
7 A Tapestry of Legendary Land $4.30M 0.74M 27/73 9.5 9.6 8.0
9 New Happy Dad and Son 6 $3.57M 0.74M 36/64 9.3 9.1 /
9 Give You Candy $3.00M 0.50M 39/61 9.0 9.0 6.2
10 The Hutong Cowboy $2.95M 0.48M 39/61 9.0 9.2 6.3

Daily Box Office National Day Holidays(October 7th 2024)

The market hits ¥154M/$21.9M which is down -36% from yesterday and up +65% versus last week.


Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/MzAzNjg2

The Volunteers 2 caps of the Holidays with another cleen sweep.

In Metropolitan cities:

The Volunteers 2 wins Shanghai, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Suzhou, Beijing, Chengdu, Chongqing and Hangzhou

City tiers:

Panda Plan climbs to 2nd in T3 on the last day of the Holidays.

Tier 1: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>High Forces

Tier 2: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>Panda Plan

Tier 3: The Volunteers 2>Panda Plan>Tiger Wolf Rabbit

Tier 4: The Volunteers 2>Tiger Wolf Rabbit>Panda Plan


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 The Volunteers 2 $9.07M -38% +35% 115849 1.50M $120.99M $197M-$201M
2 Tiger Wolf Rabbit $3.40M -40% 76926 0.59M $50.85M $71M-$81M
3 Panda Plan $3.10M -35% 66271 0.62M $30.46M $44M-$49M
4 High Forces $2.17M -39% -29% 47465 0.35M $27.08M $49M-$51M
5 Bureau 749 $1.18M -42% 42242 0.20M $50.48M $54M-$56M
6 Transformers: One $1.00M -26% -6% 20497 0.17M $18.91M $25M-$33M
7 A Tapestry of Legendary Land $0.53M -12% 12888 0.09M $4.30M $7M-$8M
8 New Happy Dad and Son 6 $0.33M -13% 13226 0.07M $3.57M $3M-$6M
9 The Wild Robot $0.24M -17% +50% 4856 0.04M $6.84M $7M-$9M
10 The Hutong Cowboy $0.18M -28% 6922 0.03M $2.95M $3M-$5M
11 Give You Candy $0.06M -33% -93% 2896 0.01M $3.00M $3M-$4M
17 Alien: Romulus $0.03M -50% -80% 1324 0.005M $110.16M $110M-$111M

*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

The Volunteers also continues to dominate pre-sales into the working week.

https://i.imgur.com/orHwvSd.png


The Volunteers 2: The Battle Of Life and Death

The Volunteers 2 is the Holidays winner and it wasn't really a contest.

Tomorrow it will pass Part 1's total gross.

https://i.imgur.com/yAnJHyW.png

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 7.2

# MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN Total
First Week $6.73M $21.73M $19.53M $17.96M $15.96M $15.29M $14.72M $111.92M
Second Week $9.07M / / / / / / $120.99M
%± LW +35% / / / / / / /

Scheduled showings update for The Volunteers 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 116310 $972k $10.74M-$10.82M
Tuesday 102480 $167k $3.42M-$3.45M
Wednesday 63701 $29k $3.06M-$3.12M

Bureau 749

749 manages to embarassingly get overtaken for 2nd in the total Holiday gross on the last day as its reception and gross continue to colapse.

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 8.7(-0.1) , Taopiaopiao: 8.5 , Douban: 4.3(-0.1)

# TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $24.65M $10.96M $5.55M $3.49M $2.61M $2.04M $1.18M $50.48M

Scheduled showings update for 749 Bureau for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 43199 $308k $1.32M-$1.43M
Tuesday 35895 $24k $0.21M-$0.35M
Wednesday 20710 $4k $0.19M-$0.31M

Tiger Wolf Rabbit

Tiger Wolf Rabbit does enough today to secure the 2nd place in the Holidays.

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.2 , Taopiaopiao: 9.4 , Douban: 6.3(-0.1)

# TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON Total
First Week $10.43M $9.52M $8.40M $7.03M $6.42M $5.65M $3.40M $50.85M

Scheduled showings update for Tiger Wolf Rabbit for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 77720 $342k $3.76M-$3.89M
Tuesday 68552 $73k $1.31M-$1.37M
Wednesday 41753 $10k $1.17M-$1.23M

High Forces

High Forces has to settle for 5th in the Holidays. The expectations were likely a bit higher than this.

Audience Figures:

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 6.4(-0.1)

# MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN Total
First Week $3.07M $4.00M $3.64M $3.67M $3.54M $3.42M $3.57M $24.91M
Second Week $2.17M / / / / / / $27.08M
%± LW -29% / / / / / / /

Scheduled showings update for High Forces for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 47485 $219k $2.00M-$2.32M
Tuesday 45121 $45k $0.85M-$0.96M
Wednesday 27868 $6k $0.79M-$0.81M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood movie to release will be Joker 2 on October 16th followed by Venom 3 on October 23rd.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


October:

Venom 3 passes on 500k Maoyan's Want To See metric and also passes Godzilla X Kong at 504k to become the highest Holywood movie on the list this year.

https://i.imgur.com/aZlv9Lo.png

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Joker: Folie à Deux 98k +7k 72k +5k 58/42 Thriller/Musical 16.10 $35-40M
Venom: The Last Dance 505k +18k 245k +12k 55/45 Action/Science Fiction 23.10 $71-95M
The Unseen Sister 212k +3k 173k +3k 85/15 Drama/Suspense 26.10 $17-27M

Harry Potter Marathon:

Harry Potter Re-Run Marathon has been announced. Starting October 11th there is gonna be a new movie releasing every week all the way till late November with Hallows P2.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone 259k +4k 261k +1k 24/76 Fantasy/Adventure 11.10
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 83k +2k 41k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 18.10 $5-9M
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 74k +2k 39k +1k 29/71 Fantasy/Adventure 25.10 $3-8M
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire 61k +1k 32k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 01.11 $3-7M
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 57k +1k 30k +1k 27/73 Fantasy/Adventure 08.11 $3-7M
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince 32k +1k 29k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 15.11 $3-6M
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 51k +1k 29k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 22.11 $2-6M
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 52k +1k 33k +1k 26/74 Fantasy/Adventure 29.11 $3-6M

by Firefox72

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