BOT Presale Tracking (June 30). Thursday comps: Twisters ($4.27M) and Deadpool and Wolverine ($32.57M). Wednesday Opening Day Comp: Despicable Me 4 ($20.76M).

[BoxOfficeTheory Presale Tracking](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/page/889/#comments)

[**USA Showtimes As of May 31**](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4683407)

[Presales Data (Google Sheets Link)](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zRjKpNOjPCBIgUULoyXyj5sBGMuU9owswn7bMfz1WSE/edit#gid=0)

[BoxOfficeReport Previews](http://www.boxofficereport.com/previewgrosses.html)

**Quorum Updates:**

– [June 28](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4694827)

– [June 26](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4694224)

– [June 24 Weekly Unaided Awareness](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4693411)

– [June 24](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4693243)

– [June 20](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4691392)

– [June 19](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4690991)

– [June 17](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4690268)

– [June 15 Weekly Unaided Awareness](https://thequorum.com/weekly-unaided-awareness-chart-gladiator-2-debuts-thanks-to-russell-crowe/)

**DOMESTIC PRESALES**

– Unfitclock (So regal is doing a summer movie express where they’re putting older movies in theaters for a $1 at 11am throughout the summer every week I took a look just out of curiosity and every single movies throughout the summer is completely full **(June 17)**.)

– [M37](https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/32392-inside-out-2-weekend-thread-155m-dom-140m-os-summer-is-back-disney-saves-the-day-%F0%9F%98%82%F0%9F%98%A2%F0%9F%98%A1%F0%9F%A4%A2%F0%9F%98%B1%F0%9F%98%B0%F0%9F%98%92%F0%9F%A5%B1%F0%9F%98%B3/?do=findComment&comment=4688756) (Films that appeal to an older, whiter, and generally more aware (cinephile) audience tend to have weaker walk-ups (Elvis, Flower moon, etc). However, that can be mitigated if said film also attracts a more GA crowd, particularly in middle and lower tier markets, where presales are a much smaller share of the final number, like TGM and Indy 5 both did (to an extent, not on the level of the other films mentioned [GxK, Equalizer, Creed, Apes, Minions, Kung Fu Panda, Inside Out]). I would expect Twisters to behave more like the TGM/Indy 5 type films, and probably not skew quite as old, so it should be decent if unspectacular on walk-ups. And we’re also still 6 weeks away, and the fandom is soft, not one that needs to buy so far in advance (as contrasted to Deapool), so it should do fine. Currently thinking it ends up in $50M+ range for OW, in range of Apes (and Bad Boys 4), solid but not nothing special. Or it could go more the way of Furiosa, where it doesn’t connect with the GA, and that weaker fandom means the floor is much lower **(June 14)**.)

**Despicable Me 4 Average Wednesday Comp *using average of abracadabra1998’s comps*: $20.76M**

– abracadabra1998 ($9.52M Preview Films and $6.75M Opening Day Films comp (both for Wednesday). Ramping up for sure **(June 26)**. Really good update, hope it continues trending upward **(June 22)**. Not bad at this point of its run, all about the final week and walk-ups though obviously **(June 19)**.)

– BOfficeStats (On Fandango, Xfinity Rewards is offering Xfinity Rewards Members: Despicable Me 4, Buy One, Get One Free (Up to $15 Off). Offer ends July 7 and it must be redeemed by July 14 **(June 22)**.)

– Charlie Jatinder ($33.33M WED comp at MiniTC2. WED sales be higher than THU lol **(June 16)**.)

– Flip ($9.17M WED comp. Sold half of Inside Out 2 in the same timespan. Starting tomorrow I’ll have the IO2 Friday comp (it should start at ~26m), so that’s much more encouraging **(June 26)**. Still waiting for the final week to jump, but I would not be surprised if the 5 day just barely passes 100m **(June 24)**.)

– keysersoze123 (It does have few midnight shows but its not going make a big difference. On Wednesday it does jump a bit. let us see how next 2 days goes. I may have been too low **(June 28)**. | DM4 is almost all opening day (it has 75 midnight shows where I am tracking and its not a midnight movie for sure). That is why I am comping with Mario which had similar release. | I am comping with Mario and how crazy final few days were for it. Mario did 35m OD. DM4 is currently at 1/3 the today with pace at slightly above half. I was just extrapolating if it maintains that through out. But final day walkups could be like 80% of mario. Then it can get around 23-25m OD. | Its definitely on the move at this point. Its hard to extrapolate Wednesday release with Friday numbers as final ramp up is different. 1 Wednesday comp is Mario. That also had a strong finish. I am thinking mid to high teens OD **(June 28)**. Its definitely amping up at the right time. It should be at 75-80% range of Inside Out Friday. of course IO2 had crazy finish and so one has to monitor how DM4 does with a wednesday release that should function better than a normal friday I think. Definitely looking at a good OD at this point. It’s around 1/3 of Mario at this point before release **(June 26)**. It has accelerated as well. Let us see how things go. May be once it hits T-7, we could comp it with IO2 Friday? **(June 24)**. I dont think rest of the week matters. It will follow atypical drop/increase for that week anyway. Big question is how it accelerates next week. I am not sure its going to get even a “review boost” as its already out in few OS markets. Ideally that should build the hype. I cannot see any so far **(June 23)**. Wednesday pace seem to be going up. Friday is moribund **(June 22)**. There would not good comps for this movie except Mario and DM4 wont be anywhere near Mario **(June 19)**. Before looking at Friday presales I thought its possible that it could be backloaded. Nah. Let us see where things stand Monday after next. As of now it has sold < 1 ticket per show **(June 17)**. Pace is really meh. I will see how the pace goes up this week but its slipping against IO2 Friday. IO2 had probably the best finish any movie has ever had and so the comps will be worse. If I have to guess its looking at 25m ish for wednesday and 5 day in 110m ish levels **(June 17)**.)

– Porthos (There is an extra “event” (Wed July 3rd) called the “Super Ticket”. At a glance, looks to be super limited (only one showing in the entire Greater Sacramento market), still could siphon away tickets from other showings in the locales that do have them. No idea what sort of chain limitations might be at play here. Secondly, (July 6th) “Despicable Me MEGA SAT Family Event”. Looks to be a Marcus Exclusive, ala Inside Out 2 Funko event. Chance of siphoning off some amount of sales from earlier days, so might be kept in the back of the mind of anyone who is comping any regions that have Marcus/Movie Tavern Theaters.**(June 4)**.)

– TheFlatLannister (Presale admissions: 2.7K vs 1.8K sold (Wednesday vs Thursday) All blocks seats were removed but that number still seems high **(June 16)**.)

– vafrow ($32.4M Wednesday comp. It had a good day, outpacing the national trend. With schools now closed, I anticipate things will start picking up pace as parents look for ways to occupy the kids **(June 29)**. Doing well. What’s interesting though is how much it’s falling off the national pace. My sample was originally 8.2% of national volumes at T-11. It’s now at 6.8%. But it’s still overperforming the average location by about double. So it’s likely that there’s just more up front activity in my location **(June 28)**. Still staying steady **(June 27)**. Full showtimes have been added, making this update a bit of a mess. They’re really going hard on this one. It’s surprising, as Inside Out will still be going strong. Thats a lot of screens for animated films, but it’s also full school closures from this Friday **(June 26)**. It’s the closest thing it’s had to a bad day. I’m not sure the cause, but not too worried about falling off pace for one day when it’s been si consistent **(June 25)**. Another reasonable day **(June 24)**. It keeps chugging along **(June 23)**. It’s staying above 10% a day. Remarkable consistency **(June 22)**. Steady and consistent **(June 21)**. Continues to go up. It’s staying above 10% daily growth all week, which is pretty amazing this far out. I have to think it’s got room to accelerate as well once we’re in the final stretch of school. Ticket bookings are primarily in small groups, ranging from 5-10. People booking this far out are likely doing outings with friends and family **(June 20)**. Slightly slower dat today, but still doing really well 2 weeks out **(June 19)**. Another big day. I think people woke up this week and realized they need to figure out what to do with their kids over the holidays **(June 18)**. This jumped up big yesterday. I wonder if all the traffic in theatres yesterday helped put this on the radar of families to watch. If this also does the expected massive walk up business the franchise is known for, it’s going to end up doing really well **(June 17)**. I’ve been tracking through the week though and it’s been steadily adding sales. Inside Out 2 comp also helps, however, for this market, it’s comparing a school day versus summer holiday (and a premiere versus previews). Still, it’s doing well, especially for a walk up based franchise **(June 16)**.)

**MaXXXine**

– Charlie Jatinder (Its not on sale in MiniTC2 **(June 25)**.)

– el sid (Today, again counted for Friday, July 5, 301 sold tickets (still with showtimes in 6 theaters). Up quite nice 22% since Friday. My comps stay the same as two days ago **(June 23)**. Counted yesterday for Friday, July 5, had already 247 sold tickets (with shows in 6 theaters, no shows in the small AMC in Texas). 14 days left. Solid presales everywhere and very good ones in the AMCs Universal Cinema and Metreon in California. Rough comps (all 4 movies counted also for Friday): X (4.3M OW) had 50 sold tickets on Monday of the release week = 10 days left for MaXXXine to increase the margin. Pearl (4.3M OW) had 50 sold tickets with 8 days left and 98 sold tickets on Monday of the release week = 6 respectively 10 days left to increase the margin. Infinity Pool (2.5M OW) had on Monday of the release week 68 sold tickets. And Halloween Ends (40.05M OW) had with 10 days left 424 sold tickets. The Watchers (7M OW) had with 8 days left and counted for Thursday 37 sold tickets. And The Strangers: Chapter One (11.8M OW) had on Monday of the release week 215 sold tickets for Thursday. You see, it’s looking good in my theaters **(June 22)**. The numbers were surprisingly nice. (OTOH I wasn’t that surprised because I recently watched X – strange but good) **(June 21)**.)

– Flip (I was checking shows near me, and I think 10m+ is more likely than not, in just one theater it’s sold as much as Twisters’ first day **(June 19)**.)

– katnisscinnaplex (This is a weird one. Alamo EA on 6/26. A few MTC1 and MTC3 shows on 7/1. ~1,400 early shows on 7/3 across all chains. Only seeing five theaters with previews on the 4th. Back to around 1,400 theaters on Friday (so far) **(June 26)**.)

– keysersoze123 (Its doing ok **(June 28)**. It’s not a typical release. I see early shows across multiple days depending on the theater chain. No previews and its releasing next friday. Early numbers are at least way stronger than what we are seeing for say Horizon this week. Not sure what to expect **(June 25)**.)

**Fly Me to the Moon**

– filmlover (It has Early Access shows next Friday (7/5). It’s actually selling pretty well so far near me **(June 28)**. Showtimes are up, starts at 3:00 that Thursday **(June 16)**.)

**Longlegs**

– Flip (4 showtimes/78 tickets sold. More shows need to be added but this is pretty strong, just a bit below Watchers T-3, and even ahead of Bad Boys T-11 **(June 27)**. 42 tickets sold in just 2 showtimes on pretty small screens at T-18. That’s over half of Inside Out 2’s number with 6 more shows, and 30% of AQP D1, which had 10 more shows **(June 23)**.)

**Twisters Average Thursday Comp: $4.27M**

– abracadabra1998 ($5.84M EA+THU comp. I must say, in “sort-of but not really but sometimes” tornado country, this is doing pretty well? **(June 27)**.)

– AniNate (Urban/suburban divide on this movie getting a lot more pronounced. Starting to see some movement on the weekend planner side **(June 28)**. Welp, now at the month point, so I would expect presales to start ramping up fairly soon if this is the kind of mid-America appeal film I’m thinking/hoping it will be **(June 19)**. Interesting to compare these to Bad Boys presales at the outset where Valley View had the lions’ share rather than North Canton. Another illustration of the customer demographic contrast **(June 16)**.)

– Flip (Still hasn’t reached AQP’s first day of sales yet, but I think it’s slowly starting to accelerate **(June 28)**.)

– keysersoze123 (Ouch almost no pace. it barely grew in a week **(June 29)**. Still terrible at MTC1**(June 22)**. I am also not buying the huge predictions for Twisters ($71M+ OW). Its presales are not good and not sure the disaster genre is that easy a sell as well. I think 50m Ow is great for it. Plus I am surprised by the legs expected for the movie (2.88x-4.63x) **(June 21)**. Not much of a pace yet **(June 18)**.)

– TheFlatLannister ($4.73M THU comp. Not much to add. Pace is still anemic **(June 28)**. Is this good? Yes. Am i seeing a $70M+ OW? No, but there’s still time I guess. Seeing more like $40M-$50M. (Don’t know if this makes sense comp-wise, but Garfield is at $5.14M) **(June 21)**. Selling around 9 tickets per a day. Pace has been very anemic after pretty good start. Dune comp is the only one I have this far out **(June 18)**.)

– Tinalera (Was going to look at Twisters for Vancouver/Alberta… Yea…..llike a ghost town **(June 25)**.)

– vafrow ($1.0M EA and $3.8M THU comp. The approach on EA showings really throw this off. Thankfully I have the Fall Guy numbers which had a similar set up, but the issue is that I have four of my theatres with Wednesday EA showings that’s grabbing the bulk of the sales. This would be ahead of both Bad Boys and KOTPOTA otherwise. However, The Fall Guy did well in EA sales but it didn’t translate to a strong performance in the end **(June 29)**. We’re starting to see some activity. Pacing a bit ahead of Fall Guy, both on previews and EA is encouraging. Especially since Fall Guy had a lot more aggressive marketing campaign at the outset. The reality is that it’s still low numbers overall, so it’s hard to read too much this far out. I wouldn’t look at these numbers and throw out a $70M opener like is being seen elsewhere, but I’m not ruling it out **(June 22)**. It’s still really early, but this really feels like Fall Guy to me. Early start, but low sales, with a bit of extra activity with the EA show the day before. I’m hoping that there’s regional biases at play here, and that a ethnically diverse Toronto suburb catchment area doesn’t capture the middle America interest that this is going for **(June 16)**.)

**Deadpool and Wolverine Average Thursday Comp: $32.57M**

– abracadabra1998 ($26.86M TERRIBLE Dune Part 2 comp.)

– Charlie Jatinder ($33.53M MCU THU T-17 Comp [$43M Black Panther 2 T-30 Comp]. Not a lock but I will say $225M is more likelier than $150M **(June 26)**. MTC 1 is at T-17 level of Thor 4. MTC 2 is at T-15. MiniTC2 is at T-14.5 ish. | Sure DP3 can open to just $150M but if you see it open to just $150M at this moment is because you want it to open to $150M. Sales don’t tell that, at least at this moment. Just for some context, DP3 sales are roughly where Thor 4 was at T-17 days i.e. roughly 15 days from now on **(June 25)**. MiniTC2: Target achieved **(June 16)**.)

– Flip (Good growth for this far out **(June 25)**.)

– keysersoze123 (May be there was a small bump today. Its moving slower anyway for now **(June 28)**. Fan Shows are at 26k, total previews (including Fan Shows) at 189k, and FRI at 87k. FYI DS2 started its sales on this equivalent day and already sold 231K **(June 26)**. Only good comps for Deadpool are their 2022 movies as their previews would be similar to Deadpool. Until we see Deadpool rise against those comps nothing is off the table. Even sub 30m previews though I am not predicting that. The fact that MCU movie is come up after a long break is a plus for this movie. | I am willing to bet that Doctor Strange 2 level of Thursday previews aint happening. Tomorrow comps with DS2 will come online you will see how far back it is even with eternity of presales vs 1 day for DS2. | It had fantastic start to presales and now in steady state mode which is way lower than 2022 blockbusters due to super long sales cycle. I think Wakanda comps are online and I think real time to comp these movies would be around T-7 time period when pace of all these movies should be similar and we can extrapolate where it will end. I still think Thor is the best comp as it was a july release and IM will be close to Thor than say Wakanda which released during Veteran’s day weekend. At this point the floor is 30/150 (unless it pulls a Marvels in its final week which is unlikely). Ceiling depends on many factors including rumors around who is there and how that can help pull in audience beyond atypical MCU fare. My prediction is 32/160 expecting a moving with middling reviews like normal Shawn Levy joint. MTC1 skew (compared to MTC2) is higher than usual due to fan shows just in MTC1. That has sold almost 85% of tickets. That is way stronger than overall preview sales skewing the numbers **(June 25)**. Still I think Thor would be the best comp. That will take couple of weeks before the comps make sense **(June 24)**. I am thinking $32M/$160M THU/OW for now. Just waiting on it to come inside Thor PS window. Only exception is if Taylor has a non trivial role. That could boost OW to 190m+ **(June 23)**.)

– Legion Again ([*referring to Porthos’ tracking numbers*] Projecting from the bottom of the U can be tricky, but I would guess that it might come into T-14 with around 7400, which would give the following t-14 comps: MOM 25.6M, TLT 32.8M, and BP2 29.2M. Those would all likely continue to rise, especially if reception is medium-good, but frankly this had a weak start in Sacto and continues to be weak in Sacto (Relative to DPW in most other samples, not to like gotg or atsv or whatever in Sacto ) **(June 17)**.)

– M37 (I agree that there should be some caution in presuming this particular film will behave in sale patterns like a typical CMB, specifically the MCU. While I don’t disagree the there will probably be some level of GA-action draw that a typical MCU saga film won’t have, the catch-22 is that the R rating is going to limit family and teen attendance, generally two of the most late buying audience, as well as skewing more male, which impacts the when of sales patterns. Couple that audience nuance with the extremely long pre-sale period, and I’m hesitant to swallow those current MCU comps pointing to $30M+. My expectation is that the U-curve is going to bottom out here far more than usual, those comps value will fall, but we’ll see a stronger last week/GA surge to compensate, while also probably more concentrated in major metros, PLFs, and with higher ATP. Frankly, much more akin to a DC film like Batman than BPWF or Thor L&T. My current ballpark expectation is for a high $20Ms Thursday preview (but ask me again when we get to T-21 or T-14). Still clearly #2 for summer and the year (to that point), but not in any way making a run at Lion King’s July OW record **(June 25)**.)

– Porthos ($31.13M MCU THU Comp. Pretty decent sized jump tonight over the average of the last week or so. More or less what I was expecting as it’s still pretty far out. I expect it to come back down to earth tomorrow, though there might still be some residual ticket sales from awareness from buzz/discussion **(June 29)**. Roughly at T-20 locally for presale tickets (L&T T-20: 5525 | DP3 T-31: 5519) but perhaps quibbling. I would point out though that since Thor 4 started out at T-24, it was much more concentrated than most other MCU films we’ve been discussing, and especially DP3. | $29.44M Doctor Strange 2 comp near same point in time before release. If we add another 80 tickets or so over the next couple of days, the comp rises to 29.9m, more or less. This is, of course, without any sort of ATP adjustment that has dominated discussion of the last couple of pages. Of course, that comp will drop in a hurry as MoM has its initial surge. Still, this will be the high water mark on a pure (unrepresentative ATP) comp until later in the pre-sale cycle. | After T-30, BP2 comp will settle into a more or less reliable pattern for the next couple of weeks, with an average sales of approx 121 tickets per day. DP3, by comparison, was reliably selling around 50 to 55 tickets per day for the last month, but has been sub-50 four out of the last six days. So something to keep an eye on in the case of DP3, though it might just be the very bottom of the U-curve/randomness at play. Either way, even at 60 a pop versus 120 a pop, it’s not gonna take long at all for BP2 to “overtake” DP3 once tomorrows 161 is factored in. On the other hand, even if we set aside ATP hikes since late 2022 (and we shouldn’t) Deadpool and Wolverine is still an R-rated movie. Even with some “cool parents” out there, the ATP will be decently higher than most recent MCU films while suppressing the overall sales numbers. That being said, I don’t know if the ATP will be quite as high as some popular R-rated films lately as this should still draw a higher percentage of kids tickets being sold. But then there’s the 3D factor which Deadpool has… The other major thing I’m curious about is whether or not this will be slightly more GA-skewing than a typical CBM. It’s more than a little silly to wonder about this, if only because of the insanely long pre-sale window burning up demand, but I do tend to wonder if the high action/adult-ish content of the film will play a role here in ticket buying patterns. Do think the later social media/review rollouts matter more, but I still wonder if the folks who typically buy tickets to R-rated action shoot ’em ups are still staying on the sidelines and waiting ’till closer to release. In the end, DP3 is gonna obliterate the R-rated preview record held by… DP2 ($18.6m). But because it’s gonna obliterate said record and because the highest R-rated film since theaters reopened is Oppenheimer at 10.5m, finding a good ATP comp for this film is probably going to be… challenging. Never mind figuring out a good pre-sale pattern comp **(June 25)**. BP2 over indexed in my tracking region (Sacramento) very slightly. | BP2 is likely to “overtake” DP3 much sooner than 20 days. Thor 4 is going to be a pretty bad comp for almost the entire run thanks to (A) DP3 having literally a month-and-a-half more days of pre-sales (DP3: T-66 | L&T: T-24) and (B) Thor 4 being relatively backloaded thanks to holiday timing and later review embargo lift. Mind DP3 also has a late review lift (as well as social media embargo) which is one of the reasons to think that it could have a strong finish. But 42 extra days of pre-sales is gonna put a tremendous thumb on the scale and by the time it may or may not equalize then we get into rollout timing differences **(June 24)**. BP2 was still in its initial surge. Thus that comp is gonna be coming down for a while (last night it was at 36.87m, so it’s already dropped 1m+ in just a day). On the other hand, DP3 is still gonna be an R-rated film, not to mention ATP hikes since 2022. Also might be some slight differences in audience given it might pull in some non-MCU folks who were mainly following the Fox X-Men films. Either way, that comp is gonna come down for a while. Maybe a long while depending on how the bottom of the U-curves compare. At the same time, the comp will very likely have to be adjusted upwards at the end, so swings and roundabouts **(June 21)**. Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps): $8.87M **(June 20)**. It’s very good! Problem is, I don’t think it’s all that easy for me to say how good, as I have, probably, exactly two films I can directly contrast DP3 to (Captain Marvel and The Rise of Skywalker). The cliffs are that DP3 started out from a higher base than CM and sold for more days than CM and is selling more tickets per day in the marathon stage than CM did (average of 39 vs 48 tickets per day at the same sources over the last 14 days). CM had exited its fan rush stage 14 days ago, but changing it to 12 days doesn’t appreciably change things, at least when it comes to the delta (average of 35.4 vs 46.8). On the other hand, TROS had a YYYYUUUUUUUUGE head start, which makes contrasting nearly worthless as that will absolutely have a much different ending sales period than DP3. Complicating this is TROS *still* has a better daily pace than DP3 currently has (average of 69.2 vs 50.2 at the same sources over the last 13 days) (13 days chosen as TROS exited its fan rush stage, well, 13 days ago). Changing it to twelve also doesn’t change much: (average of 69.1 vs 49.2 at the same sources over the last 12 days). So, when it comes down to it, I really only have Captain Marvel as a compare and contrast (IW starting at T-41 just is too far off length wise) as SW Saga films just have too different of a pattern. Folks know my stance on the inherent danger of comping against exactly one film. Plus, you know, all the other inherent dangers of trying to compare the sales pattern of a 2019 MCU film against one for 2024, along with the dangers of comping against an R-rated film versus a PG-13 one. Well, as I said: It’s doing much much much better than CM. But we all knew that already **(June 17)**. For long releases of MCU/SW Saga caliber, it usually takes about 6 to 8 days for the initial wave to stop. The Rise of Skywalker didn’t really “bottom out” until D9 or so (T-51). Then at T-21, more or less, it started up its acceleration again. Can see similar patterns for MCU long runners (May 24).)

– TheFlatLannister ($34.76M GotG3 THU Comp. Probably 280 seats per a loc for fan shows here. Don’t think those showings are wide enough to really move the needle much past an extra $1m or so. | I don’t have any comps but it sold 6k tickets over the past 30ish days which is bonkers. | Hit the 7k target I set a few weeks ago. Amazing growth considering we still have 4 weeks left. I’m sticking with a way too early $35M+ number **(June 26)**. I think this clears $30M preview with ease. $20Ms just feels way too low for the start it had (I haven’t checked my data recently but it was well above anything I’ve ever tracked) **(June 25)**.)

– Tinalera (Slowing a little bit but still pretty steady esp for those Thurs nights which are hovering around 24=27 percent mark with just less than a month to go **(June 29)**. Montreal now going 4 for 4 for theatre sales now. Very large increase in shows and seat inventory for Both Toronto and Montreal. Numbers might seem reduced a on percentage, but thats because more seat volume added, Montreal at 14 and 7 percent for a film over a month away is very good, and one of rare times Ive seen those full sales in motion in Montreal **(June 17)**.)

– vafrow ($36.55M THU Comp. Growth is probably understated as I’m pretty sure I had a counting error of about 40 on an IMAX screening last time **(June 29)**. Only Marvel film tracked is The Marvels, which it’s doing much better than **(June 25)**. Staying at about 1% growth a day isn’t too bad at this stage **(June 22)**.)

**Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 2**

– FANDANGO (When you sign up for the Frontier Pass and then purchase a ticket to Chapter One get a promotional code towards Chapter Two. Requires enrollment in the free Frontier Pass FanAlert™ program and purchasing 1 or more ticket for Chapter 1 between 9:00am PT on 6/12/24 and 11:59pm PT on 7/15/24 at a participating theater. Purchasers receive an email containing 1 Fandango Promotional Code for 50% off the purchase of 1 movie ticket to Chapter Two on Fandango, when tickets become available. Code is void if not redeemed by 11/15/24, or when ‘Horizon: An American Saga Chapter Two’ is no longer in theaters, whichever comes first. One-time use only. Void where prohibited. Offer is non-transferable and cannot be combined with any other offer or discount. Offer valid in the U.S. only **(June 12)**.)

**Domestic Calendar Dates (last updated June 17):**

**JULY**

– (July 3) Opening Day [WED: Despicable Me 4 (including Super Ticket showings)]

– (July 4) Opening Day [THU: Possum Trot]

– (July 5) Opening Day [FRI: MaXXXine]

– (July 5) EA [Fly Me to the Moon]

– (July 6) Despicable Me 4 MEGA SAT Family Event (SAT: Marcus Exclusive?)

– (July 11) THU Previews [Fly Me to the Moon + Longlegs + Lumina]

– (July 12) Opening Day [FRI: The Lion King 1994 Re-Release]

– (July 16) Review Embargo Lifts [Twisters (12 PM ET)]

– (July 17) EA [Twisters]

– (July 18) THU Previews [Oddity + Twisters]

– (July 22) Deadpool and Wolverine Premiere (Reviews and Social Media Reactions to follow???)

– (July 25) THU Previews [Deadpool and Wolverine (including 1 PLF fan show at 3 PM) + Didi + Fabulous Four]

– (July 29) Presales Start [Alien: Romulus + It Ends With Us]

**AUGUST**

– (August 1) THU Previews [Cuckoo + Harold and the Purple Crayon]

– (August 5) Presales Start [Borderlands]

– (August 8) THU Previews [Borderlands + It Ends With Us + Trap]

– (August 12) Presales Start [Alien: Romulus]

– (August 15) THU Previews [Alien: Romulus + Horizon: Chapter 2 + Ryan’s World the Movie: Titan Universe Adventure]

– (August 22) THU Previews [Blink Twice + The Crow + The Forge + Slingshot]

– (August 29) THU Previews [City of Dreams + Reagan + They Listen]

**Presale Tracking Posts:**

[May 18](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1cvi8t5/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_18/)

[May 21](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1cxwol9/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_21_total/)

[May 23](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1cz3h1j/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_23_bad_boys/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[May 25](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1d0orj1/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_25_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[May 28](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1d3628t/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_28_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[May 30](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1d4jgng/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_may_30_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1d6aq58/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_june_1_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 4](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1d8gct8/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_june_4_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 6](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1da36t8/domestic_bot_presale_tracking_june_6_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 8](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dba5i3/bot_presale_tracking_june_8_lord_of_the_rings/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 13](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1df1c72/bot_presale_tracking_june_13_the_bikeriders_and/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 15](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dh3pfm/bot_presale_tracking_june_15_thursday_comps_a/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 20](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dkw4de/bot_presale_tracking_june_20_average_thursday/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 22](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dmc8ar/bot_presale_tracking_june_22_thursday_comps_a/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 25](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dpen99/bot_presale_tracking_june_25_thursday_comps_quiet/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

[June 28](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1dqcq36/bot_presale_tracking_june_28_thursday_comps/?ref=share&ref_source=link)

Note: I have removed most tracking data that has not been updated for 2 weeks. I think there is value in keeping data for a week or two but at a certain point they start to lose their value and should not be treated the same as more recent tracking data.

by BOfficeStats