OCTOBER
(Oct 11)
Saturday Night Sony Wide
The Apprentice Briarcliff Wide
Piece by Piece Focus Wide
(Oct 18) Anora Neon Limited
(Oct 25) Conclave Focus Wide
NOVEMBER
(Nov 1)
Juror #2 WB Limited
Here Sony Wide
A Real Pain Searchlight Limited
(Nov 27)
September 5 Paramount Limited
Queer A24 Limited
DECEMBER
(Dec 6)
Nightbitch Searchlight Limited
The Order Vertical Limited
(Dec 13)
Nickel Boys Amazon MGM Limited
(Dec 20)
The Brutalist A24 Limited
The Room Next Door SPC Limited
(Dec 25)
The Fire Inside Amazon MGM Wide
Babygirl A24 Wide
A Complete Unknown Searchlight Wide
Nosferatu Focus Wide
Better Man Paramount Limited
Last year, Poor Things was the clear winner grossing over $117M+ at the box office while The Zone of Interest did $52M+, The Holdovers did $45M+ while Anatomy of a Fall did $36M+ and American Fiction did $22M+.
Others like The Boys in the Boat also did $55M+, The Iron Claw did $45M+ and Priscilla did $33M+ but there were several misfires too with Saltburn with $21M+ on a $75M budget and Ferrari with $43M+ on a $95M budget and others like Next Goal Wins and Dream Scenario which grossed in the $10Mish range, and Eileen and Origin which grossed in single figures.
So, what are your bets for this year's surprises and sureshots?
by HumanAdhesiveness912
7 Comments
A Complete Unknown feels like the only one here with **$150M+** potential.
Depending on how they perform overseas, I can see a path for Anora or Piece by Piece getting **$100M+**.
Here, Conclave, A Real Pain, The Fire Inside, Nosferatu, Nickel Boys, Brutalist and Better Man could all hypothetically reach **$50M+**.
Everything else is in the **$10M**ish and below range.
The substance deserves to be an Oscar suspect but the Academy will never give it love I fear 😔
I could see A Complete Unknown, Conclave, and possibly even The Brutalist (which cost < $10 million) being modest hits, but most of these will probably struggle due to their budgets being higher than the demand for them.
Nosfertau will do well its getting plenty of buzz
My most wanted to see is Anora. It looks like a much fun movie m
I don’t think Piece by Piece is going to get any nods
A Complete Unknown, Nosferatu, Better Man, and Here seems like the best bets for grossing 50m to 100m range. (WW)
Anora could if WOM really breaks out but it’s a wildcard to me. There are so many indie films just like it that end up doing little business.
I don’t think anything else on that list is going to make much noise. Probably all less than 50m.